Tony explains why your electrical panel is the boss — and your HVAC system better respect it.
⚡ Introduction: The Panel Decides What’s Possible — Not the Equipment Brochure
Most homeowners shop HVAC equipment backwards:
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Pick a heat pump or furnace.
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Ask if the panel can “handle it.”
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Pray the electrician says yes.
Tony shakes his head every time.
“If your breaker panel can’t support the system, the system is WRONG — not the panel.”
He has walked into homes where:
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contractors installed 15 kW heat strips on a 100A panel
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heat pumps were added to panels with no room
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air handlers were wired with undersized conductors
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HVAC additions tripped breakers all winter
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main lugs ran dangerously hot
These aren’t equipment problems.
They’re electrical design problems.
In Tony’s world, electrical capacity determines HVAC design, not the other way around.
Because an HVAC system that exceeds panel limits isn’t just inconvenient — it’s unsafe.
This article breaks down exactly how Tony designs systems starting with the breaker panel, following electrical code, airflow logic, and real-world load behavior.
Goodman 68,240 BTU 20 kW Electric Furnace with 2,000 CFM Airflow
🧰 1. Tony’s First Rule: “Your HVAC System Must Respect the Amps.”
HVAC systems are the largest electrical load in a typical home.
They draw power through:
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blower motors
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compressors
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heat strips
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defrost heaters
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crankcase heaters
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control circuits
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condensate pumps
Before Tony promises a homeowner anything, he checks:
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main service amperage
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available breaker positions
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conductor size feeding the panel
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load history
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type of panel
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age of breakers
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unused breaker capacity
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NEC 220 load calculation
Electrical load calculations are defined by the National Electrical Code (NEC)
Tony refuses to design HVAC without this step.
Because the panel decides what size of system you can run safely.
🔋 2. The Main Service Rating: Tony’s Gatekeeper for System Size
Most homes have one of these main service sizes:
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100 amps (older homes)
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125 amps
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150 amps
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200 amps
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400 amps (rare)
Tony’s HVAC design rules by panel rating:
100A Panel
You are EXTREMELY limited.
Tony refuses to install:
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10–20 kW electric heat strips
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large central HVAC systems
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whole-home heat pumps with backup strips
You may require:
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2–5 kW heat maximum
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ductless mini splits
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gas or oil heat
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panel upgrade
150A Panel
Moderate capacity.
Tony often designs:
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heat pump with 5–10 kW strips
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moderate AC tonnage
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forced-air furnace + blower
200A Panel
The modern standard.
This supports:
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heat pumps up to 4–5 tons
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10–20 kW strip heat
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large air handlers
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whole-home systems
Tony prefers homeowners upgrade to 200A if using electric heat long-term.
400A Panel
High-end homes only.
Full flexibility.
🧮 3. The NEC 220 Load Calculation — Tony’s Non-Negotiable Step
Before designing a system, Tony runs a full NEC Article 220 load calculation.
This accounts for:
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general lighting load
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small appliance circuits
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laundry circuits
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large appliances (range, dryer, WH)
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HVAC systems
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continuous loads
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demand factors
This calculation prevents:
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main breaker overheating
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nuisance trips
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panel meltdown
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overheating feeders
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fire hazards
Tony’s rule:
“If the math says your panel is full, I’m not adding anything else.”
🔥 4. Electric Heat: The #1 System That Can Overload a Panel
Electric strip heat is a massive load.
Typical Heat Strip Currents at 240V
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5 kW = ~21 amps
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10 kW = ~42 amps
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15 kW = ~63 amps
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20 kW = ~84 amps
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25 kW = ~105 amps
Tony always sizes heat strips around panel capacity.
He’s replaced dozens of burned lugs and fried breakers where:
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15 kW heat was installed on a 100A panel
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20 kW strips ran with no staging
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heat strips ran simultaneously with dryers, water heaters, and ranges
Tony always applies the NEC 125% rule for continuous loads.
“If your panel can’t handle electric heat, the answer is NOT bigger heat strips.
It’s a different system.”
Tony will choose:
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smaller strips
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staged heat
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dual fuel
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gas furnace
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propane furnace
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mini split
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or a panel upgrade
Whatever is safely supported.
🧊 5. Heat Pumps Need Electrical Respect Too — Even Without Huge Heat Strips
Heat pumps may seem low-load, but a large outdoor unit draws:
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15–45 amps for compressor + fan
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5–10 amps for crankcase heaters in winter
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5–20 amps for defrost cycles
On a 100A panel, Tony often sees:
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heat pump
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electric dryer
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electric stove
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electric water heater
All fighting for amperage.
This is how main breakers trip on the coldest nights — when:
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defrost cycles activate
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crankcase heaters engage
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strip heat kicks in
Tony’s load math prevents this.
The DOE documents heat pump electrical consumption extensively here:
👉 https://www.energy.gov/energysaver/heat-pump-systems
🌀 6. Air Handlers Need Dedicated Breakers — The Panel Must Support Them
Air handlers have:
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blower motor (ECM/PSC)
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heat strip circuits
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control board
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transformer
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safety relays
These require separate breakers, not one lumped circuit.
Tony checks:
✔ Available breaker slots
If the panel is full, he cannot legally add more circuits without a subpanel.
✔ Breaker type compatibility
Some panels require proprietary breakers, not generics.
✔ Wire gauge returning to the panel
Undersized wiring is a fire hazard when feeding large air handlers.
Tony follows UL electrical certification guidelines when evaluating equipment and breakers:
👉 https://ul.com/services/electrical-systems-certification
🔌 7. Return Air + Static Pressure Affect Electrical Load Too
Most people think static pressure and airflow are a ductwork issue.
Tony knows better.
High static pressure = higher blower amperage.
Blower amperage rises dramatically when:
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ducts are undersized
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returns are too small
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filters are too restrictive
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coils are dirty
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static pressure is above 0.7"
This can push:
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blower motors into thermal overload
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breakers into nuisance tripping
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ECM motors to exceed rated amps
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panels into higher continuous load
ACCA airflow standards confirm this:
👉 https://www.acca.org
Tony ensures the electrical panel can handle the blower load at actual static pressure, not factory conditions.
🧵 8. Wire Gauge and Breaker Size — Designing HVAC That Matches the Panel’s Limits
Tony double-checks:
✔ Wire size
✔ Breaker size
✔ Breaker type
✔ Distance from panel to air handler
✔ Voltage drop
✔ Conductor temperature rating
Because if the:
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breaker is sized too large → wire overheats
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breaker is too small → nuisance trips
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wire is aluminum instead of copper → different ampacity
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run is long → voltage drop kills performance
Tony sees homes wired in the 70s and 80s with:
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#12 wire feeding air handlers
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30A breakers feeding 10kW strips
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aluminum wiring on 60A circuits
All of this MUST be corrected before HVAC can be designed.
🧱 9. Panel Condition Matters — Not Just Size
Tony inspects:
✔ Rusted or corroded bus bars
✔ Double-tapped breakers
✔ Melted breaker stabs
✔ GFCI/AFCI compatibility
✔ Brand (Zinsco, FPE = automatic fail)
✔ Age of main breaker
✔ Loose lugs
✔ Signs of heat damage
If the panel is unsafe or outdated, Tony will not install new HVAC equipment until it is replaced.
Because no HVAC system works well — or safely — with:
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unstable voltage
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overheated breakers
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compromised lugs
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corroded grounding
🏠 10. Real Case Study: Tony Designs a System Starting With the Panel
Home:
1,800 sq ft
100A main service
Electric dryer + range
Old 10kW air handler
Homeowner Request:
Upgrade to 4-ton heat pump + 15kW strips
Tony’s Findings:
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Panel load after calc: 98 amps continuous
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No available breaker slots
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Dryer + range already max panel load
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Heat strips impossible
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Current wire gauge undersized for 15kW
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Return air too small (high blower amp risk)
Tony’s Solution:
Instead of forcing a system that would overload the panel, he designed:
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a 3-ton heat pump (less startup current)
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5 kW strips max
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new 20A dedicated air handler circuit
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upgraded return air
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duct repair to lower static pressure
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cleaned coil + blower
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blower configured for 375 CFM/ton
The system ran:
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safely
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efficiently
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quietly
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without tripping breakers
The furnace didn’t need to be bigger.
The electrical panel decided what was safe.
“I don’t argue with the panel. The panel is the boss.”
🎯 11. Tony’s System-Design Hierarchy (Used on Every Job)
When designing systems, Tony follows this order:
1. Electrical panel capacity
What can the panel safely support?
2. Breaker position availability
Is there room?
3. Wire gauge and material
Is existing wiring adequate?
4. Voltage stability
Is there drop under load?
5. Load calculation
Does the home overload the main?
6. System choice
Only after electrical capability is verified.
Tony refuses to design HVAC around “desired equipment.”
He designs HVAC around physical, electrical, and code limitations.
🏁 Conclusion: The Panel Is the Foundation — The HVAC System Is Just a Guest
Tony ends every consultation the same way:
“HVAC design starts with amps, not with tonnage.”
Because:
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a panel that can’t support the load
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a breaker that can’t handle the current
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a wire that overheats
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or a main that’s at capacity
…will turn even the most expensive HVAC equipment into:
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a breaker-tripping headache
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a safety hazard
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a money pit
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or a total failure
When you design HVAC the Tony way — with the electrical panel as the boss — the entire system runs:
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safely
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smoothly
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efficiently
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for decades
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In the next topic we will know mmore about: How Tony Sizes Return Air So Your Blower Doesn’t Choke to Death







