A cold night, a quick Google, and a big question
It’s the first truly cold night. Your gas bill jumps, and the old furnace sounds tired. You open your phone, search prices, and feel stuck between jargon and sticker shock. We get it. At The Furnace Outlet, we keep it simple: honest guidance, wholesale pricing, and help from licensed techs. Most homeowners spend $4,300–$15,500 installed for a high-efficiency furnace. The “right” number depends on equipment, labor, and a few extras. In this guide, we’ll break it down so you can plan with confidence, compare apples to apples, and avoid surprise costs. If you want a second opinion, our team is a chat or call away and we’ll even suggest budget-friendly fixes before a replacement. Start here, then explore our furnace selection so you know exactly what to expect.
What “95%+ AFUE” actually means (in plain English)
AFUE is a simple score for fuel efficiency. A 95% AFUE furnace turns 95% of fuel into heat for your home. Only 5% escape. An older 80% unit wastes 20%. That difference shows up on your gas bill every month. High-efficiency models do this with better heat exchangers and cooler exhaust that vents through PVC, not a chimney. If you like less fuel waste and steadier comfort, 95%+ is the sweet spot. Want to dig deeper? See ENERGY STAR’s overview of efficient furnaces for clear definitions and certification basics.
The total installed price, explained at a glance
Every quote you see has three parts: equipment, installation labor, and extras. Here’s a quick snapshot of typical ranges for a 95%+ furnace:
Category |
Typical Range |
What It Covers |
Equipment |
$2,300–$8,000 |
Furnace, controls, basic accessories |
Installation Labor |
$1,500–$4,500 |
Removal, setup, venting, commissioning |
Additional Costs |
$500–$3,000 |
Thermostat, permits, ducts, gas/electrical work |
Total Installed |
$4,300–$15,500 |
Most homes land near $9,100 average |
If you’re comparing bids, match the model number, AFUE, and included scope. You can browse equipment options at wholesale pricing in our furnace collection, add needed accessories other parts if your project needs them.
Equipment costs by efficiency and features
Higher AFUE and comfort features raise equipment price, but also boost control and savings. Here’s what to expect:
Efficiency / Staging |
Equipment Cost |
What You Get |
95% AFUE, Single-Stage |
$2,300–$4,200 |
Reliable, budget-friendly, basic operation |
95% AFUE, Two-Stage |
$2,800–$5,500 |
Smoother temps, quieter runs, fewer swings |
96–97% AFUE, Modulating |
$3,500–$6,500 |
Variable output, premium comfort, tighter control |
98% AFUE, Premium |
$4,000–$8,000 |
Top efficiency and advanced features |
Compared with 80% models, high-efficiency units usually cost $1,000–$3,000 more, but energy savings help pay that back. For feature guidance, see DOE’s primer on furnaces and AFUE.
Explore models and bundles in our furnace lineup or consider all-in-one package units for certain homes.
Brand-to-brand price ranges you can expect
Brand affects cost and warranty options. Typical equipment ranges for high-efficiency models:
Brand |
Equipment Range |
Trane |
$2,500–$8,500 |
Lennox |
$2,600–$8,000 |
Carrier |
$2,500–$5,700 |
Bryant |
$2,500–$5,500 |
Goodman |
$2,300–$5,400 |
Your best value isn’t always the highest price. Match features, warranty, and installer quality. If you’re unsure, reach out through our Help Center. Our licensed techs will compare specs, explain tradeoffs, and steer you toward real-world value no upsell scripts.
Why installation labor swings so much
Labor varies with access, code updates, and venting needs. A straight swap in an open basement takes less time and money than a tight attic install with rerouted venting. High-efficiency furnaces use PVC venting and create condensate that must drain safely. Expect $300–$800 for venting and $150–$400 for condensate work inside typical installs. Relocating the unit, running long vent paths, or working in cramped spaces pushes labor toward the high end. For a deeper dive on condensing furnace venting details, see this field-tested resource.
Add-ons and hidden costs to budget for
Most projects include a few extras. Budget for the big ones:
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Smart thermostat ($200–$600): Helps you capture savings; many high-efficiency setups expect one. See ENERGY STAR Smart Thermostats.
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Permits & inspections ($50–$500): Required in most areas.
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Ductwork fixes ($500–$3,000): Needed if ducts are undersized, leaky, or damaged.
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Gas line ($300–$1,500): New run or upsizing for capacity.
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Electrical ($200–$800): New circuit, disconnect, or panel work.
You’ll find common parts in our accessories shop. Not sure what you need? Share photos and get a quick review through our Quote by Photo tool fast, free, and guided.
Real savings and payback math you can check
Let’s say your home spends $1,200 a year on heat. Upgrading from 80% AFUE cuts waste from 20¢ to as little as 5¢ per fuel dollar. Typical annual savings:
Upgrade |
Annual Savings |
Percent |
80% → 95% AFUE |
$180 |
15% |
80% → 96% AFUE |
$192 |
16% |
80% → 97% AFUE |
$204 |
17% |
In colder climates, savings can reach $200–$300+ yearly. Given a $1,100–$2,000 upgrade cost over 80% units, payback often lands around 6–10 years. After that, it’s mostly savings for the rest of the furnace life. To fine-tune expectations for your house size and climate, use our practical Sizing Guide and ping our techs for a quick sanity check.
Tax credits and rebates you don’t want to miss (2025)
For 2025, many homeowners qualify for a federal Energy Efficient Home Improvement Credit (25C): 30% of equipment cost, up to $600 for furnaces. To qualify, the furnace generally must be ENERGY STAR certified at 97% AFUE or higher. Keep two caps in mind: the overall annual efficiency credit max is $3,200, while furnaces, boilers, and central AC share a $1,200 limit. Always save your model numbers and installer invoices for tax time.
External resources: IRS Energy Efficient Home Improvement Credit
Need help lining up paperwork? Our team is happy to point you in the right direction through the Help Center.
Picking the right size and feature set for your home
The best furnace is properly sized, installed, and controlled. Too big short-cycles and wastes money. Too small struggles on the coldest nights. Staging helps: single-stage is simple; two-stage smooths comfort; modulating dials in temperature and noise. Climate matters, too colder regions often benefit from staging. Start with our step-by-step Sizing Guide. If you want design help, our licensed techs can spec equipment, venting, and accessories through the Design Center. We offer direct-to-consumer pricing and fast, free shipping, so your project moves quickly without budget surprises.
Repair or replace? Honest ways to spend less
We don’t push replacements you don’t need. Sometimes a repair, simple maintenance, or a smart thermostat solves comfort complaints. If your heat exchanger is sound and the furnace is under 12 years old, repair may be smart. If parts are obsolete, utility bills climb, or repairs stack up, a high-efficiency upgrade can win long-term. When in doubt, send us photos via Quote by Photo or message our techs in the Help Center.
What drives labor complexity (and your final number)
Three things change labor time fast:
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Access & location: Tight closets and attics add hours.
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Venting path: Long PVC runs or tricky terminations cost more.
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Code & safety updates: New shutoffs, drip legs, or clearances may be required.
If your ducts need work, expect $500–$3,000. Gas line changes run $300–$1,500. Electrical tweaks land around $200–$800. A clear, itemized scope keeps bids fair. For background on duct and system efficiency, the DOE has a plain-language guide.
External resource: U.S. DOE Home Heating (Energy Saver)
You can also skim practical checklists on our HVAC Tips blog to ask the right questions before you commit.
How to compare bids like a pro (and avoid surprises)
Use this quick checklist:
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Match model numbers, AFUE, and staging.
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Confirm venting, condensate, and gas/electrical updates.
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Ask for any duct changes in writing.
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Verify permits and final startup/commissioning steps.
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Note thermostat model and setup.
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Clarify warranty terms and who handles claims.
Bring any quote to us, we'll help you level the scope at no charge through the Design Center. If you decide to buy, you’ll get wholesale pricing, fast, free shipping, and real support from licensed HVAC techs. If a modest repair is the better move, we’ll say so.