Online HVAC shopping is one of the smartest ways to save money today. But unlike hiring a contractor who sizes the system for you, buying online means you’re responsible for choosing the correct tonnage.
And sizing is NOT something to guess on.
Choose too small → your AC runs nonstop, can’t keep up, and humidity climbs.
Choose too big → you get short cycling, uneven cooling, coil freeze, and real comfort issues.
That’s why I created Samantha’s 7-Point Tonnage Verification Checklist, built from years of real homeowners, real homes, and real HVAC diagnostic data.
This is the exact system-sizing method I use before I recommend ANY 2-ton, 3-ton, 3.5-ton, or 4-ton system — especially when someone is about to order a Goodman, MRCOOL, Amana, or R-32 condenser online.
Goodman 3.5 Ton 15.2 SEER2 System
Let’s walk through my complete, homeowner-safe, data-backed method.
🏠 1. Confirm Your Real Square Footage (Not the Number on Zillow)
Square footage is the starting point for tonnage — but many homeowners look at the wrong number.
Online listings show:
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Total building square footage
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Garage square footage
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Basement square footage
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Unfinished areas
That’s not what your AC is cooling.
✔ Use ONLY conditioned, finished square footage
Included:
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Bedrooms
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Living room
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Kitchen
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Finished basements (if vented)
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Bonus rooms
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Hallways
NOT included:
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Garage
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Attic
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Crawlspace
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Unfinished basement
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Sunrooms without ducts
✔ Samantha’s Square Footage → Tonnage Baseline
Assuming average insulation & a mixed climate:
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1,000–1,300 sq ft → 1.5–2 tons
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1,300–1,700 sq ft → 2–2.5 tons
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1,700–2,200 sq ft → 2.5–3 tons
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2,200–2,600 sq ft → 3–3.5 tons
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2,600–3,000 sq ft → 3.5–4 tons
This ONLY sets your starting range.
Your real tonnage depends on the next 6 factors.
External Verified Source:
DOE guidance on home energy sizing and square footage considerations
🌡 2. Identify Your Climate Zone — Your Zip Code Changes Your Ton Needs
Your cooling load depends heavily on outdoor temperature, humidity, and seasonal variation.
Two identical homes — one in Michigan and one in Florida — need entirely different AC sizes.
✔ Hot + Humid (FL, LA, SC, TX Gulf Coast)
Add 0.5 ton for humidity removal.
✔ Hot + Dry (AZ, NV)
Same tonnage as baseline, but airflow must be stronger.
✔ Mixed Climate (NC, TN, VA, MD, MO)
Square footage and insulation are the primary sizing factors.
✔ Cooler Northern States (MN, MI, WI, MA)
You often subtract 0.5 ton, because cooling demand is lower.
External Verified Source:
🧱 3. Evaluate Insulation & Home Tightness — Oversized Systems Hide Here
Square footage doesn’t tell the whole story. Modern homes leak FAR less air.
✔ Insulation That Makes You Need Less Tonnage
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R-38 to R-49 attic insulation
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Spray foam attic or roof deck
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Air-sealed can lights
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Double- or triple-pane windows
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Weatherstripped doors
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R-8 duct insulation
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ZIP System sheathing or housewrap
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Tight envelope construction
These factors can reduce your cooling load by 10–25%.
✔ Insulation Problems That Increase Tonnage
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R-19 or lower in attic
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Uninsulated garage walls touching living space
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Old metal-frame or single-pane windows
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Leaky returns
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Whole-house infiltration
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Crawlspace air leaks
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Attic knee walls
These issues can add 0.25–0.5 tons.
External Verified Source:
DOE attic insulation and air sealing standards:
https://www.energy.gov/energysaver/weatherize/insulation
☀️ 4. Check Solar Gain & Heat-Load Rooms — Your Biggest Hidden Tonnage Trap
A handful of rooms can dramatically skew your tonnage — even if the rest of the house is perfectly sized.
These are what I call Hot-Spot Load Adders.
✔ Rooms That Add 2,000–6,000 BTUs (Up to ½ Ton)
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West-facing bedrooms
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Rooms with large windows
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Bonus rooms above garages
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Finished attics
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Sunrooms
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Media rooms with multiple monitors
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Home offices with PCs
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Nursery with blackout drapes pulled open mid-day
✔ Samantha’s Solar Load Adjustments
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Significant west-facing glass → Add 0.5 ton
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Second floor always 3–5°F hotter → Add 0.5 ton
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Bonus room above garage → Add 0.25–0.5 ton
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Finished attic → Add 0.5 ton
External Verified Source:
ENERGY STAR on heat gain through windows
💨 5. Verify Your Duct System Can Support the Tonnage You Want
This is the #1 overlooked factor when homeowners buy online.
✔ You MUST have the airflow
Air conditioners require:
➡ 400 CFM (cubic feet per minute) per ton
Meaning:
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2 tons = 800 CFM
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3 tons = 1,200 CFM
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3.5 tons = 1,400 CFM
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4 tons = 1,600 CFM
If your ducts cannot move this much air, the tonnage you buy will not be the tonnage you feel.
✔ Signs Your Ductwork Is Undersized
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Loud vents
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Rooms with weak airflow
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Dust streaks around registers
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Very hot upstairs bedrooms
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Return grille sounds like a “wind tunnel”
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Short cycling
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Coil freeze
✔ Samantha’s Duct Pass/Fail Criteria
Your ducts fail if:
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Your supply trunk < 14”
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Your return trunk < 16”
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You have fewer than 3 return grilles
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Flex duct is kinked
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Your system is loud at startup
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Your home uses only a single hallway return
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Ductwork predates 1990 and hasn’t been upgraded
If your ducts fail → You may need to DOWNsize tonnage, not upsize.
External Verified Source: ACCA Manual D duct sizing reference
📱 6. Use a Smart Sensor to Confirm Real Runtime, Delta-T & Cycle Behavior
This is where you eliminate all guesswork.
Using a smart temp/humidity sensor (like the Amazon-linked temp/RH sensor you use in your content), you can measure the exact load your current system is handling.
Here’s what to check:
📌 Runtime Ratio (RR%) — Your Best Tonnage Indicator
On a 90°F summer day:
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RR < 30% → Oversized system
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RR 40–60% → Right-sized system
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RR 70–95% → Undersized system
📌 Delta-T (Supply vs Return Temp Difference)
A properly functioning AC should drop:
➡ 16–22°F
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If Delta-T is low (10–15°F) → undersized or airflow problem
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If Delta-T is too high (23–30°F) → oversized or restricted airflow
📌 Humidity Behavior
Oversized systems remove less humidity
because they cycle off too quickly.
If indoor humidity stays above 55%, you likely need less tonnage, not more.
📌 Cycle Frequency
Oversized: 6–10 cycles/hour
Right-sized: 3–5 cycles/hour
Undersized: Long continuous cycle
📌 Room-to-Room Differential
If far rooms never cool before the system shuts off, the unit is oversized.
If far rooms cool slowly but eventually catch up, the unit is right-sized.
If far rooms never catch up, the unit may be undersized.
🔧 7. Make Sure Your Furnace, Blower & Coil Match the Tonnage
Your AC tonnage MUST match your:
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Furnace blower
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Evaporator coil
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Refrigerant type
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Line set size
Or else efficiency drops, comfort suffers, and cycling becomes erratic.
✔ Blower Capacity Rules
Your blower must support:
➡ 400 CFM × tonnage
A furnace that can only move 1,200 CFM cannot support:
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A 3.5-ton (needs 1,400 CFM)
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A 4-ton system (needs 1,600 CFM)
✔ Coil Sizing
Coils must match:
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Tonnage
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Refrigerant (R-410A vs R-32)
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Furnace cabinet width
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Airflow requirement
✔ R-32 Systems
R-32 systems have:
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Higher cooling density
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Stricter coil compatibility
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More precise charge requirements
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Slightly different airflow needs
So the coil pairing MUST be correct.
External Verified Source: EPA guidance on R-32 refrigerant
🧠 Samantha’s Final 7-Point Approval Checklist Before You Order
Before clicking “Add to Cart,” verify these 7 things:
✔ 1. I measured actual conditioned square footage.
✔ 2. I confirmed my climate zone affects tonnage.
✔ 3. My home’s insulation & tightness support my tonnage choice.
✔ 4. I identified any solar gain or hot-spot load adders.
✔ 5. My ductwork can support airflow for this tonnage.
✔ 6. My smart sensor shows correct runtime and Delta-T.
✔ 7. My furnace & coil are fully compatible with the selected tonnage.
If you can check all seven boxes…
🎉 You are ready to order your system online confidently.
If not, now you know exactly what to diagnose before you spend thousands on the wrong size.
🔥 Samantha’s Final Word
Most homeowners think tonnage is guesswork.
It’s not.
Tonnage is a formula — a beautiful combination of:
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Square footage
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Climate
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Insulation
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Solar heat
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Duct capacity
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Runtime data
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Equipment compatibility
Once all 7 pieces are in place, choosing the right system online becomes safe, predictable, and empowering.
And with this checklist, you’ll never fear clicking “Order Now” again.
Buy this on Amazon at: https://amzn.to/43doyfq
In the next topic we will know more about: The R-32 + Smart Sensor Combo: Samantha’s Method for Matching Real-Time Heat Load to the Right AC Size







